NCAA Tournament bubble watch: Winners and losers as conference championship week marches forward

Conference championship week in men’s college basketball includes a way of escaping . a sense of emergency for teams round the NCAA Tournament bubble.

Most intriguing are conference tournament matchups between two bubble teams. Win and advance. Or lose and wait to hear relating to your postseason fate.

Such was the problem for a lot of Big East teams: Seton Hall started Thursday one of the “next four out” however vaulted within the line by knocking off fellow bubble foe St. John’s inside the Big East quarterfinals. St. John’s had just recently taken Xavier’s place one of the “last four in” to start your entire day however will fall in the forecasted field of 68.

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Duke’s season found an immediate finish carrying out a positive COVID-19 test with COVID-19 let for the team’s ACC Tournament game against Florida Condition to get referred to as off. Without playing that game, nowhere Devils’ credentials aren’t enough to go to dancing. Fellow ACC bubble team Syracuse is really a closer call. Following a Orange defeated New You are able to Condition on Wednesday, they fell around the buzzer-beater to top-seeded Virginia.

Here’s a review of all the winners and losers round the NCAA tournament bubble from heading into Friday’s conference tournament action:


Seton Hall (First four out). The Pirates (14-12, 10-9 Big East) beat St. John’s 77-69 in overtime. This victory moves these to the “first four out” but they’ve got to win Friday against Georgetown inside the semifinals to be this mix for just about any likely place inside the First Four. It hurts Seton Hall the Hoyas upset Villanova since the opportunity to conquer ‘Nova is a better boost for the profile. The Pirates’ tournament resume features a Internet score inside the high 50s just like a weakness however a high-30 strength of schedule might help.

Syracuse (In – No. 12 seed). Despite losing to top-seeded Virginia around the buzzer-beater on Thursday, the Orange (16-9, 9-7 ACC) are squeezing to the forecasted field one of the “last four in.” They have done enough by beating New You are able to Condition inside the second round – their third win consecutively. Still, without another game to see, it’s likely to be close for coach Jim Boeheim’s team. The committee will dsicover just one Quadrant 1 win round the team’s profile.

Wichita Condition (In – No. 11 seed). The Shockers (16-4, 11-2) couldn’t afford an undesirable loss, so surviving Florida 68-67 inside the American Sports Conference quarterfinal matchup will be a much-needed win. WSU’s Internet score inside the 60s is tough, similar to just two Quadrant 1 wins. There’s however enough there otherwise, plus a top-15 non-conference strength of schedule.

Utah Condition (First four out). The Aggies (19-7, 15-4 Mountain West) hammered UNLV 74-53 inside the Mountain West Tournament quarterfinals to be consideration with an at-large bid. They’re presently round the “first four out” line because of there being 3 Quad 1 wins then one Quad 2 victory round the resume. .

Ole Miss (Next four out). The Rebels (16-10, 10-6) are the “next four out” group following an SEC tournament win over Sc. Coach Kermit Davis’ group has won three consecutively but lost to Vanderbilt on March 6 for just about any major résumé stain. More winning is needed with an at-large bid.

Rutgers (In – No. 10 seed). The Scarlet Knights (15-10, 10-10 Big Ten) handled Indiana 61-50 inside the Big Ten tournament’s second round. Beginning your entire day just like a relatively secure No. 10 seed, this win fully safeguards Rutgers’ inclusion in March Madness. A higher-40 Internet score and five Quad 1 victories will probably be too appealing for your committee to overlook.

Maryland (In – No. 10 seed). In the matchup between two likely safe Big Ten bubble teams, the Terrapins (16-12, 9-11 Big Ten) got past Michigan Condition 68-57 inside the Big Ten’s second round before falling against Michigan on Friday. Five Quad 1 wins plus a top-15 strength of schedule solidifies an at-large bid.

Georgia Tech (In – No. 9 seed). The Yellow Jackets (16-8, 11-6 ACC) are not only in the bubble. They are some of the hottest teams going dancing, getting won seven consecutively. Beating ACC bottom-feeder Miami (Fla.) 70-66 inside the tournament quarterfinal was necessary to avoid a late setback.

Connecticut (In – No. 9 seed). Another formality, the Huskies (15-6, 11-6 Big East) performed themselves in the bubble due to a 94-60 win over Big East doormat DePaul inside the quarterfinals.

Colorado Condition (In – No. 12 seed). The Rams (18-5, 14-4) are barely inside the forecasted field. Beating Fresno Condition 72-62 on Thursday inside the Mountain West Conference tournament was necessary to stick to the very best side in the bubble. Just two Quadrant 1 wins plus a strength of schedule of 120 won’t impress the selection committee, so CSU must win more to stay safe.


Southern Methodist (First four out). The Mustangs needed to win their opener inside the American Sports Conference tournament to get seriously considered with an at-large bid. They lost 74-71 to Cincinnati inside the quarterfinals despite Kendric Davis’ 35 points. Coach Tim Jankovich’s team has decent tournament credentials just one area the committee will most likely harp on will probably be scheduling – SMU features a non-conference strength of schedule inside the 270s. Consequently, the program owns zero Quadrant 1 wins.

Duke (Out). Nowhere Demons (13-11, 9-9 ACC) came out to get playing themselves into NCAA Tournament contention after beating Louisville on Wednesday however an optimistic COVID-19 test within the program ended its season around the sour note..

St. John’s (First four out). After beginning your entire day one of the “last four in,” Thursday’s loss to Seton Hall flipped the Red Storm (16-11, 10-9 Big East) to one of the “first four out.” The committee will most likely save this team by helping cover their different Internet score inside the 60s plus a non-conference strength of schedule inside the 230s.

Boise Condition (In – No. 12 seed). The Broncos (18-8, 14-6 Mountain West) fell to Nevada 89-82 inside the quarterfinal in the Mountain West Tournament. That setback – the next consecutive loss for the Wolf Pack – may be pricey with this particular team that’s hanging onto a location inside the First Four. Boise State’s resume features the second best non-conference strength of schedule within the u . s . states plus a Internet score inside the low 40s. But you’ll find just two Quadrant 1 wins to select an undesirable loss to Fresno Condition.

Xavier (First four out). The Musketeers (13-8, 6-7 Big East) lost 70-69 in overtime to Butler inside the Big East tournament’s first round. That loss cost Xavier a try at playing inside the NCAA tourney. They went from “last four in” to “first four out” while using loss now sit and watch for tense Selection Sunday.

Stanford (out). The Cardinal (14-13, 10-10) solidified their place after losing inside the first round in the Pac-12 tournament to California. Stanford reaches this mix to notch an at-large bid before losing its final five games of the year.

NCAA Tournament language explainer:

Internet means the NCAA Evaluation Tool, the barometer for your selection committee. It provides game results, strength of schedule, game location, scoring margin (capping at 10 points per game), and internet offensive and defensive efficiency.

Quadrant 1 wins: Home games versus. 1-30 Internet teams Neutral-site games versus. 1-50 Internet Away games versus. 1-75 Internet

Quadrant 2 wins: Home games versus. 31-75 Internet Neutral-site games versus. 51-100 Internet Away games versus. 76-135 Internet

Quadrant 3 wins: Home games versus. 76-160 Internet Neutral-site games versus. 101-200 Internet Away games versus. 136-240 Internet

Quadrant 4 wins: Home games versus. 161-plus Internet Neutral-site games versus. 201-plus Internet Away games versus. 241-plus Internet

Note: Most record details are used from The Web rankings (NCAA Evaluation Tool) will also be a reference.

About our bracketologist: Shelby Mast remains projecting the region since 2005 on his website, Bracket W.A.G. He grew to become part of USA TODAY in 2014. Within the eighth season as our national bracketologist, Mast has finished one of the top three bracketologists formerly seven March Madnesses. He’s also predicted for your Indiana Star, which is an inaugural part of the Super 10 Selection Committee. Follow him on Twitter @BracketWag.

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